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Mathematics posts

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  • September 13, 2010
  • 04:04 PM
  • 1,362 views

Scientific hubris, or: Everything you thought you knew about straight line fits is wrong

by sarah in One Small Step

Think you’ve got your least squares down to a tee? Think again. In a paper posted to the Arxiv in late August, David Hogg of NYU and his collaborators take us to task on our sloppy data fitting habits. And he’s not in the mood to mince his words. It is conventional to begin any [...]... Read more »

David W. Hogg, Jo Bovy, & Dustin Lang. (2010) Data analysis recipes: Fitting a model to data. Arxiv . arXiv: 1008.4686v1

  • August 29, 2010
  • 04:45 PM
  • 697 views

A Mathematical Description of Cell Aggregate Mechanical Deformation

by Michael Long in Phased

Luigi Preziosi (Politecnico di Torino, Italy) and coworkers have developed a mathematical model for the mechanical stress experienced by cell aggregates, relevant to cellular function in normal health (blood flow) and disease (cancer). This news feature was written on August 29, 2010.... Read more »

Preziosi, L., Ambrosi, D., & Verdier, C. (2010) An elasto-visco-plastic model of cell aggregates. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 262(1), 35-47. DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.08.023  

  • August 27, 2010
  • 10:28 AM
  • 1,132 views

Please explain the end of kin selection

by Zen Faulkes in NeuroDojo

As an evolutionary biologist, I’m very familiar with the idea of kin selection. When I saw a paper titled “The evolution of eusociality” in the table of contents of Nature, and read the abstract saying, “Kin selection? Don’t need it,” I thought to myself, “Ooooh, this is big.”

I’ve read blog posts about it on Plektix and Wired. I listened to first author Martin Novak being interviewed on the Nature podcast.



Novak does a good job of explaining why kin selection is invoke........ Read more »

Nowak, M., Tarnita, C., & Wilson, E. (2010) The evolution of eusociality. Nature, 466(7310), 1057-1062. DOI: 10.1038/nature09205  

  • August 26, 2010
  • 03:35 AM
  • 739 views

Global Temperature Proxy Reconstructions ~ now with CO2 forcing

by apeescape in mind of a Markov chain

Previously, I did a simple Bayesian projection of recent temperature using proxy data and the methods shown in McShane and Wyner (2010). I showed that when you take out the last 30 years of data (1969~1998), the projection does not track the recent uptick in temperatures well. The “projection” is a simple unparametric bootstrap which [...]... Read more »

BLAKELEY B. MCSHANE AND ABRAHAM J. WYNER. (2010) A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF MULTIPLE TEMPERATURE PROXIES: ARE RECONSTRUCTIONS OF SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE LAST 1000 YEARS RELIABLE?. Annals of Applied Statistics, 4(3). info:/

  • August 24, 2010
  • 11:54 AM
  • 869 views

Differentiating Skill and Luck in Financial Markets with Streaks

by Samuel Arbesman in arbesman.net


Speaking of luck, we just released a paper onto SSRN about luck and skill entitled Differentiating Skill and Luck in Financial Markets with Streaks. This paper, which I worked on with Andrew Mauboussin (a brilliant high school student who worked in our lab this summer), examines the relationship between skill and luck using mutual fund [...]... Read more »

Andrew Mauboussin, & Samuel Arbesman. (2010) Differentiating Skill and Luck in Financial Markets with Streaks. SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract. info:/

  • August 22, 2010
  • 04:10 AM
  • 666 views

Global Temperature Proxy Reconstructions ~ Bayesian extrapolation of warming w/ rjags

by apeescape in mind of a Markov chain

There are a bunch of “hockey sticks” that calculate past global temps. through the use of proxies when instrumental data is absent. There is a new one out there by McShane and Wyner (2010) that’s creating quite a stir in the blogosphere (here, here, here, here). The main take out being, that the uncertainty is [...]... Read more »

BLAKELEY B. MCSHANE AND ABRAHAM J. WYNER. (2010) A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF MULTIPLE TEMPERATURE PROXIES: ARE RECONSTRUCTIONS OF SURFACE TEMPERATURES OVER THE LAST 1000 YEARS RELIABLE?. Annals of Applied Statistics, 4(3). info:/

Mann, M., Zhang, Z., Hughes, M., Bradley, R., Miller, S., Rutherford, S., & Ni, F. (2008) Proxy-based reconstructions of hemispheric and global surface temperature variations over the past two millennia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 105(36), 13252-13257. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0805721105  

  • August 20, 2010
  • 04:10 PM
  • 727 views

Genome-Scale Epigenetic Marker Detection Across Populations

by Michael Long in Phased

Lior Pachter (University of California at Berkeley, United States) and coworkers have developed MetMap software for uncovering epigenetic data hidden by standard MethylSeq analysis, which will advance our understanding of the role of epigenetics in human health and medicine. This news feature was written on August 20, 2010.... Read more »

Singer, M., Boffelli, D., Dhahbi, J., Schoenhuth, A., Schroth, G. P., Martin, D. I. K., & Pachter, L. (2010) MetMap Enables Genome-Scale Methyltyping for Determining Methylation States in Populations. PLoS Computational Biology, 6(8). DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000888  

  • August 19, 2010
  • 07:30 AM
  • 584 views

Numbers on the Brain: Neurobiology of Mathematics

by Jason Goldman in Child's Play

Nearly everyone has heard of developmental dyslexia – a learning disorder characterized by poor reading skills despite otherwise sufficient schooling – but have you heard of developmental dyscalculia? Many people have not. Here is part 4 in a week-long series on this lesser-known learning disorder. Case-studies of patients with various brain lesions have demonstrated the [...]... Read more »

Ardila A, & Rosselli M. (2002) Acalculia and dyscalculia. Neuropsychology review, 12(4), 179-231. PMID: 12539968  

Dehaene, S. (2004) Arithmetic and the brain. Current Opinion in Neurobiology, 14(2), 218-224. DOI: 10.1016/j.conb.2004.03.008  

Isaacs EB, Edmonds CJ, Lucas A, & Gadian DG. (2001) Calculation difficulties in children of very low birthweight: a neural correlate. Brain : a journal of neurology, 124(Pt 9), 1701-7. PMID: 11522573  

Dehaene, S, Piazza, M, Pinel, P, & Cohen, L. (2003) Three Parietal Circuits for Number Processing. Cognitive Neuropsychology, 487-506. info:/

  • August 19, 2010
  • 06:00 AM
  • 1,334 views

Evolution of Colour Terms: 3 Perceptual Constraints

by Sean Roberts in A Replicated Typo 2.0

Continuing my series on the Evolution of Colour terms, this post reviews evidence for perceptual constraints on colour terms. For the full dissertation and for references, go here.

The perceptual space that results from the processing of opponent colours is non-uniform (see Figure below), meaning that there are optimal ways to describe it (Jameson & D’Andrade, . . . → Read More: Evolution of Colour Terms: 3 Perceptual Constraints... Read more »

  • August 18, 2010
  • 09:30 AM
  • 488 views

Developmental Dyscalculia Explained: Strategy, Memory, Attention

by Jason Goldman in Child's Play

Nearly everyone has heard of developmental dyslexia – a learning disorder characterized by poor reading skills despite otherwise sufficient schooling – but have you heard of developmental dyscalculia? Many people have not. Here is part 3 in a week-long series on this lesser-known learning disorder. (See parts one, and two, and a companion post at [...]... Read more »

  • August 5, 2010
  • 06:52 PM
  • 1,242 views

R and Google Earth ~ comparing tuna tracks vs. Gulf of Mexico oil spill extent

by apeescape in mind of a Markov chain

There is a lot of interest in how the Gulf of Mexico oil gusher will affect the ecosystem and its marine species. One such species is the Western Atlantic bluefin tuna that holds the Gulf of Mexico as one of its major spawning grounds. Recent tag data show that the location of the gusher is [...]... Read more »

  • August 4, 2010
  • 03:44 PM
  • 732 views

Real Time fMRI

by Neuroskeptic in Neuroskeptic

Wouldn't it be cool if you could measure brain activation with fMRI... right as it happens?You could lie there in the scanner and watch your brain light up. Then you could watch your brain light up some more in response to seeing your brain light up, and watch it light up even more upon seeing your brain light up in response to seeing itself light up... like putting your brain between two mirrors and getting an infinite tunnel of activations.Ok, that would probably get boring, eventually. But th........ Read more »

Hinds, O., Ghosh, S., Thompson, T., Yoo, J., Whitfield-Gabrieli, S., Triantafyllou, C., & Gabrieli, J. (2010) Computing moment to moment BOLD activation for real-time neurofeedback. NeuroImage. DOI: 10.1016/j.neuroimage.2010.07.060  

  • July 30, 2010
  • 11:00 AM
  • 621 views

Measuring Synchrony - pt 2 of ??

by Brandon Goodell in Bored Lunatic


This is the second in a multi-part series analyzing the paper linked below.  The paper uses several measures of synchrony and tests them against some real-world data to compare their performance.  Today I will be talking about three different measures of nonlinear interdependence between two signals, all of which are based on nearest neighbors.

The main thing here is that the frequency coherence method of measuring synchrony primarily measures linear interdependency.  In othe........ Read more »

  • July 20, 2010
  • 07:09 AM
  • 931 views

Why you REALLY can’t trust small studies: the small study effect

by Michael Slezak in Good, Bad, and Bogus


You’ll often see loony zealots refer you to a study showing how effective their preferred treatment is — there usually is some small study supporting the use of almost any treatment.
You’ll also often hear people reply that the study was only small, so shouldn’t be trusted. But why shouldn’t you trust small studies? Sure, they [...]... Read more »

  • July 19, 2010
  • 09:32 AM
  • 559 views

Measuring Synchrony - pt 1 of ??

by Brandon Goodell in Bored Lunatic

This is the first in a multi-part series analyzing the paper linked below.  The paper uses several measures of synchrony and tests them against some real-world data to compare their performance.  Today I will be talking about the frequency-coherence measure of synchrony.

I really love being a scientist.  The coolest bit about research, as far as I can tell, is that it's hard.  You are exploring the unknown.  This paper is exploring the unknown - in the past two decade,........ Read more »

  • July 18, 2010
  • 12:07 AM
  • 1,012 views

Cherry Picking to Generalize ~ retrospective meta-power analysis using Cohen’s f^2 of NASA temp visualization

by apeescape in mind of a Markov chain

Previously, I plotted a grid of NASA GISS global temps in ggplot2 to show general trends by the brute force method. Here, I will again use the brute force method to do a simple power analysis on a portion of the data (data here). The general aim is to figure out what the minimum sample [...]... Read more »

Thomas, L. (1997) Retrospective Power Analysis. Conservation Biology, 11(1), 276-280. DOI: 10.1046/j.1523-1739.1997.96102.x  

  • July 16, 2010
  • 11:53 AM
  • 535 views

Phase synchronization

by Brandon Goodell in Bored Lunatic



Consider two pendula (penduli? pendulums?) that are on a bit of a wobbly table, oscillating back and forth.

Eventually, they synchronize. Once a huge mystery to physics, the fact that placing two pendulums on the same surface causes minute vibrations to transmit through that surface, causing the devices to become weakly coupled. The result is that, after a sufficiently long period of time swinging back and forth, the two pendulums become fully synchronous.

The Scholarpedia article, "Phase ........ Read more »

Izhikevich, E., & Ermentrout, B. (2008) Phase model. Scholarpedia, 3(10), 1487. DOI: 10.4249/scholarpedia.1487  

  • July 16, 2010
  • 04:23 AM
  • 1,072 views

‘Gravity doesn’t exist’, says philosophically naive scientist/journalist

by Michael Slezak in Good, Bad, and Bogus


Reports of a physicist “taking on gravity” have recieved a bit of attention recently, with a New York Times article outlining Erik Verlinde’s idea that gravity is an emergent property of thermodynamics.
I think it’s great that the piece was written — even though apparently it hasn’t excited any physicists since the start of the year. Regardless [...]... Read more »

Erik P. Verlinde. (2010) On the Origin of Gravity and the Laws of Newton. arxiv.org. arXiv: 1001.0785v1

Bertrand Russell. (1912) On the notion of cause. Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society. info:other/

  • July 9, 2010
  • 09:35 PM
  • 1,060 views

Log Normal Distributions in Ecology ~ multiplications complications

by apeescape in mind of a Markov chain

The normal distribution is the “norm” when applying statistics to data. It is simple to interpret, simple to predict, simple to optimize, convenient software-wise and analytically elegant. But in many applications, this modeling assumption may not be optimal. The first is that the normal distribution doesn’t have a zero bound. In ecology, the data is [...]... Read more »

  • July 7, 2010
  • 03:30 AM
  • 1,346 views

Top Ten Excuses for World Cup Football Failures (with citations)

by Duncan Hull in O'Really?

Football fever grips the globe as we reach the final stages of the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa. Alongside the traditional game where one winning team takes all, leaving 31 losing teams to go home earlier than expected, there is another competition running in parallel. Which losing team can come up with the [...]... Read more »

Lucifora, C., & Simmons, R. (2003) Superstar Effects in Sport: Evidence From Italian Soccer. Journal Of Sports Economics, 4(1), 35-55. DOI: 10.1177/1527002502239657  

Zak, P., Kurzban, R., Ahmadi, S., Swerdloff, R., Park, J., Efremidze, L., Redwine, K., Morgan, K., & Matzner, W. (2009) Testosterone Administration Decreases Generosity in the Ultimatum Game. PLoS ONE, 4(12). DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0008330  

Elmar Bittner, Andreas Nussbaumer, Wolfhard Janke, & Martin Weigel. (2006) Football fever: goal distributions and non-Gaussian statistics. Eur. Phys. J. B 67, 459 (2009). arXiv: physics/0606016v1

Goff, J., & Carré, M. (2010) Soccer ball lift coefficients via trajectory analysis. European Journal of Physics, 31(4), 775-784. DOI: 10.1088/0143-0807/31/4/007  

Kranjec, A., Lehet, M., Bromberger, B., & Chatterjee, A. (2010) A Sinister Bias for Calling Fouls in Soccer. PLoS ONE, 5(7). DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0011667  

Wayne C. Naidoo, & Jules R. Tapamo. (2006) Soccer video analysis by ball, player and referee tracking. SAICSIT '06: Proceedings of the 2006 annual research conference of the South African institute of computer scientists and information technologists on IT research in developing countries. DOI: 10.1145/1216262.1216268  

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